US Chamber of Commerce

Economic Forecast - October 2002

 

 

01.1

01.2

01.3

01.4

02.1

02.2

02.3

02.4

03.1

03.2

03.3

03.4

04.1

2001

2002

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Domestic Product

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Percent Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Nominal GDP

3.0

0.9

1.9

2.2

6.5

2.5

4.9

2.7

4.4

5.3

5.5

5.6

5.9

2.6

3.6

4.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Real GDP

-0.6

-1.6

-0.3

2.7

5.0

1.3

3.5

1.4

2.7

3.6

3.5

3.5

3.6

0.3

2.4

2.8

 

 

  Consumption

2.4

1.4

1.5

6.0

3.1

1.8

4.5

2.1

2.7

3.2

3.3

3.3

2.8

2.5

3.2

3.0

 

 

  Residential Investment

8.2

-0.5

0.3

-3.5

14.3

2.6

1.0

-1.0

-2.0

-2.5

-0.5

-0.5

0.5

0.3

3.3

-1.0

 

 

  Business Investment

-5.4

-14.5

-6.0

-10.9

-5.8

-2.4

1.6

-1.5

2.4

5.2

6.3

7.2

7.2

-5.2

-5.6

2.6

 

 

      Equipment

-6.3

-16.7

-9.2

-2.5

-2.7

3.3

6.8

2.5

5.5

7.0

7.5

8.5

8.5

-6.4

-1.9

5.7

 

 

      Structures

-3.2

-8.3

2.8

-30.0

-14.2

-17.6

-19.0

-17.5

-10.0

-2.0

1.5

2.0

2.0

-1.7

-16.6

-9.8

 

 

  Exports

-6.1

-12.4

-17.2

-9.6

3.5

14.2

12.0

12.0

11.0

9.0

8.5

9.0

9.0

-5.4

0.4

10.7

 

 

  Imports

-7.9

-6.8

-11.8

-5.3

8.5

22.2

11.0

10.0

9.0

5.0

6.0

7.5

7.5

-2.9

4.8

8.9

 

 

  Government Purchases

5.7

5.6

-1.1

10.5

5.6

1.4

1.7

2.0

3.3

2.9

3.1

3.1

5.0

3.7

4.1

2.6

 

 

      Federal

9.5

6.0

1.2

13.5

7.4