US Chamber of Commerce
Economic Forecast - October 2002
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01.1 |
01.2 |
01.3 |
01.4 |
02.1 |
02.2 |
02.3 |
02.4 |
03.1 |
03.2 |
03.3 |
03.4 |
04.1 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
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Gross Domestic Product |
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Percent Change |
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Nominal GDP |
3.0 |
0.9 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
6.5 |
2.5 |
4.9 |
2.7 |
4.4 |
5.3 |
5.5 |
5.6 |
5.9 |
2.6 |
3.6 |
4.4 |
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Real GDP |
-0.6 |
-1.6 |
-0.3 |
2.7 |
5.0 |
1.3 |
3.5 |
1.4 |
2.7 |
3.6 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
0.3 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
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Consumption |
2.4 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
6.0 |
3.1 |
1.8 |
4.5 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
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Residential Investment |
8.2 |
-0.5 |
0.3 |
-3.5 |
14.3 |
2.6 |
1.0 |
-1.0 |
-2.0 |
-2.5 |
-0.5 |
-0.5 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
3.3 |
-1.0 |
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Business Investment |
-5.4 |
-14.5 |
-6.0 |
-10.9 |
-5.8 |
-2.4 |
1.6 |
-1.5 |
2.4 |
5.2 |
6.3 |
7.2 |
7.2 |
-5.2 |
-5.6 |
2.6 |
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Equipment |
-6.3 |
-16.7 |
-9.2 |
-2.5 |
-2.7 |
3.3 |
6.8 |
2.5 |
5.5 |
7.0 |
7.5 |
8.5 |
8.5 |
-6.4 |
-1.9 |
5.7 |
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Structures |
-3.2 |
-8.3 |
2.8 |
-30.0 |
-14.2 |
-17.6 |
-19.0 |
-17.5 |
-10.0 |
-2.0 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
-1.7 |
-16.6 |
-9.8 |
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Exports |
-6.1 |
-12.4 |
-17.2 |
-9.6 |
3.5 |
14.2 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
11.0 |
9.0 |
8.5 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
-5.4 |
0.4 |
10.7 |
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Imports |
-7.9 |
-6.8 |
-11.8 |
-5.3 |
8.5 |
22.2 |
11.0 |
10.0 |
9.0 |
5.0 |
6.0 |
7.5 |
7.5 |
-2.9 |
4.8 |
8.9 |
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Government Purchases |
5.7 |
5.6 |
-1.1 |
10.5 |
5.6 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
3.3 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
5.0 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
2.6 |
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Federal |
9.5 |
6.0 |
1.2 |
13.5 |
7.4 |
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