In 2016, promising sweeping trade policy reforms, Donald Trump rode a wave of populist sentiment all the way to the White House. Vowing to end or radically rewrite NAFTA, kill the Trans-Pacific Partnership, renegotiate every significant trade agreement bilaterally, and approach every deal from an “America First” perspective, Trump convinced idled American workers he could “Make America Great Again.”
Now, worry has set in for American-based companies, large and small, as it’s time to deliver on those campaign promises.
Unsure of what the new administration’s policies will be, or how they might impact exporters and importers, CEOs across a broad spectrum of industries are reaching out for balanced advice about trade war consequences, risk exposure, and risk mitigation strategies—without the political rhetoric and controversy. CEOs need discussions centered on pragmatic analysis in order to swiftly make decisions that will lead their companies in these times of global economic uncertainty.
Trade Wargaming® is a set of risk assessment tools to help executives make sense out of uncertain trade policies—no matter what direction they finally take. This model—informed by our clients’ experience, building on our extensive management consulting expertise, and developed in association with some of America’s top economic and trade experts—has been designed to clarify the potential consequences, highlight available choices and trade-offs, and provide a roadmap to strategies that enable executives to maintain margins in a changing global market.
Wherever trade policies finally land, they are likely to impact every class of imported and exported goods differently. Trade Wargaming’s value chain analysis allows companies to think through the financial implications of policy change on every element of their supply chain on a category-by-category basis.